NHL Deputy Commissioner Bill Daly issued a position paper late yesterday laying out the merits of going ahead with the Entry Draft next month even though it is unknown yet whether or not the season will resume this summer.
NHL makes its case for a June draft: https://t.co/GAo6lEZmT4— Elliotte Friedman (@FriedgeHNIC) May 2, 2020
Daly proposes that the Order of Selection be based upon the teams’ winning point percentages. Under the proposal the top 16 teams would be out of the Draft lottery while the bottom 15 teams would be in. This is the usual process of determination. However, it appears for the purposes of this exercise, the league would rate the teams 1-to-31 across both Conferences. Normally, the top 16 clubs’ draft positions are determined at least partially by playoff outcomes. The Stanley Cup Final winner picks 31st while the Stanley Cup Final loser picks 30th. The Conference Final losers pick 28th and 29th and so on. So it appears the ordering across Conferences is the solution given that the Draft would occur prior to the playoffs for the first time in NHL history.
This could makes things interesting for Canucks’ fans. If the NHL uses winning point percentages across both Conferences then the Canucks will be ranked 17th in the league and will be out of the playoffs for draft order purposes. Ironically, if the NHL eventually later uses winning point percentages at the pause to determine the final standings, the Canucks will finish 7th in the Western Conference in a playoff spot.
If the NHL sets the Draft order for a June Entry Draft based upon winning point percentages across both Conferences the #Canucks will move up to 17th place in the overall Standings and determined to be a non-playoff team for Draft purposes.— CanucksAbbyFan2 (@Fan2Abby) May 2, 2020
1st round pick & playoffs this year? pic.twitter.com/QAXGkmgpaN
1/2 the #Canucks fan base will be upset when we win the Cup because we will be missing out on a Lottery pick.— CanucksAbbyFan2 (@Fan2Abby) July 10, 2019
So is it possible that the Canucks could win both the Lottery and the Stanley Cup in the same season and finally unite their fan base?
Not so fast. Daly’s paper pours cold water on that possibility.
Reading the NHL memo on its "early draft" plans that was emailed to teams on Friday. The most radical proposals are reverting to the old lottery system (one lottery for the top pick; teams only moving up 4 spots); and the conditional pick proposal. (1/4)— Greg Wyshynski (@wyshynski) May 2, 2020
So if the Canucks do retain their selection the highest they could pick is 11th overall moving up four spots from their 15th overall position.
Another issue raised by Daly is what to do about the 15 NHL trades that 2020 conditional draft picks hinge on related to whether or not a club makes or does not make the playoffs?
In the Canucks case, this issue is about the J.T. Miller trade with Tampa Bay. The Lightning have since traded the first round conditional pick they acquired from the Canucks for Miller to New Jersey in their Blake Coleman trade deadline deal.
TRADE: The Lightning have traded forward J.T. Miller to Vancouver for a conditional first-round pick in 2020, a third-round selection in 2019 and goaltender Marek Mazanec. Should the Canucks not make the playoffs in 2019-20, the first-round selection will move to the 2021 draft.— Caley Chelios (@CaleyChelios) June 22, 2019
The solution proposed by Daly is that the clubs involved in these types of deals re-work the deals to both clubs’ satisfaction failing which they will have to accept the league’s proposed remedy to the transaction.
- conditional trades involving 2020 picks. The NHL says it has reviewed the 15 trades that involve conditional picks with playoff implications and would be ready to suggest solutions to each trade or have both teams agree to “reform the trade on terms acceptable to both teams.”— Pierre LeBrun (@PierreVLeBrun) May 2, 2020
There are 15 trades w/ conditional picks. The NHL proposal: League makes suggested remedy to teams. They have 7 days to figure it on own, or accept NHL's "suggestion" to remedy it. "Obviously, both teams would have to agree to the terms of any 'reformation' of any trade." (2/4)— Greg Wyshynski (@wyshynski) May 2, 2020
It is unclear at this time how the Miller trade could be reworked to the satisfaction of both clubs or failing that agreement what the imposed NHL solution might turn out to be. The Canucks historically tend not to fare well though when subject to league initiated remedies (e.g. Luongo cap recapture penalty).
In any event, it appears almost certain the NHL Entry Draft will take place on June 5th. The league and television networks want it to happen then even though the majority of general managers are opposed to it.
I'd say early June NHL draft is going to happen. This is a very detailed argument by the league that reads like a "here's why we're doing it" more than "let's debate it." BoG call on Monday. We'll find out next week. https://t.co/EYQETeh1BO— Greg Wyshynski (@wyshynski) May 2, 2020
We should get more clarity and likely a firm league decision next week some time following the NHL Board of Governors’ telephone meeting on Monday. But the odds right now seem to be that the Canucks will retain their 2020 first round pick and will be slotted 15th in the Draft with a chance to move up to 11th overall and all before potentially competing for the Stanley Cup later this year should the NHL restart the season.
All of which is a reminder that there’s a Board of Governors call Monday which is part of the reason the memo went out Friday. More to chew on before the governors discuss/debate the draft issue Monday.— Pierre LeBrun (@PierreVLeBrun) May 2, 2020