FanPost

Behind The Numbers - Advanced Stats Game #9 Canucks vs. Penguins

Justin K. Aller

A look at the scoring chance summary, on-ice scoring chances, team scoring chances, neutral zone stats, & expected score from the Canucks' 4-3 shootout loss to the Penguins.

TEAM SCORING CHANCE TOTALS


VANCOUVER

PITTSBURGH


ES +(PP)+ {SH}+[OT}= Total Chances

ES (PP) {SH}+[OT] = Total Chances

1

7 (0){0} =7

5 (2) {0} =7

2

5 (1) {0} =6

3 (1) {0 } =4

3

4 (0) {2} = 3

7 (0) {0} =7

Total

16 (1) {2} [1]* =20

15 (3) {0 } = 18

  • Good News: The Canucks' attack is improving every game.
  • The Canucks now have had 4 high chance games in a row.
  • Bad News: Vancouver is still having difficulty creating grade A scoring chances.
  • The Canucks' aggressive play gave up too many chances to the skilled Penguins.

COMPLETE SCORING CHANCE SUMMARY

Team Period Time Note Home Away State
Home 1 14:37 Conner 2 4 14 16 23 29 1 5 7 9 23 45 5v5
Home 1 11:10 Crosby (deflection) 2 7 14 29 71 87 1 3 22 23 33
5v4
Home 1 10:38 Sutter 3 12 16 29 36 41 1 2 8 15 17 20 5v5
Away 1 10:29 Richardson 3 12 16 29 36 41 1 2 8 15 17 20 5v5
Away 1 8:13 Kesler 3 9 14 29 41 87 1 3 7 9 23 25 5v5
Away 1 7:59 Kassain 3 9 14 29 41 87 1 2 7 8 9 15 5v5
Home 1 7:32 Matta 2 3 9 14 29 87 1 2 7 8 9 15 5v5
Away 1 6:10 D. Sedin 2 4 12 16 29 36 1 3 18 20 25 36 5v5
Away 1 5:02 Schroeder 3 15 23 29 41 46 1 2 7 8 9 45 5v5
Away 1 4:26 D. Sedin 7 9 14 29 44 87 1 5 17 22 23 33 5v5
Home 1 4:19 Dupuis 7 9 14 29 44 87 1 5 17 22 23 33 5v5
Home 1 4:16 Crosby (Goal) 3 12 29 36 41 71 1 2 8 20 25 36 5v5
Home 1 2:24 Malkin 2 7 14 29 71 87 1 2 8 15 17
5v4
Away 1 0:57 Booth 4 15 27 29 44 46 1 5 7 18 22 33 5v5
Away 2 18:19 Schroeder (deflection) 3 15 16 23 29 41 1 3 7 9 18 45 5v5
Away 2 17:32 Richardson 5 7 27 29 44 46 1 2 8 15 29 32 5v5
Home 2 16:42 (deflection) 7 9 14 29 44 87 1 5 17 22 23 33 5v5
Away 2 15:09 D. Sedin 7 27 29 44 87
1 2 5 17 22 33 4v5
Home 2 12:05 Kunitz (Goal) 2 7 14 29 71 87 1 3 17 20 23
5v4
Away 2 10:30 Higgins 2 7 9 14 29 87 1 5 20 23 25 36 5v5
Home 2 7:29 Malkin 2 4 5 27 29 71 1 3 15 23 29 32 5v5
Away 2 7:15 Richardson (Goal) 7 9 14 29 44 87 1 2 8 17 20 33 5v5
Away 2 6:08 D. Sedin 3 15 16 23 29 41 1 5 22 23 25 36 5v5
Home 2 1:57 Vitalie 3 27 29 41 46 71 1 2 8 22 25 36 5v5
Away 3 18:28 Hansen 2 4 12 29 36 71 1 3 18 22 25 36 5v5
Home 3 18:02 Glass 3 15 16 23 29 41 1 3 7 9 15 18 5v5
Away 3 15:07 D. Sedin 2 7 14 29 71 87 1 3 22 23 33
5v4
Away 3 15:04 H. Sedin 2 7 14 29 71 87 1 3 22 23 33
5v4
Away 3 7:42 Booth 2 4 15 23 29 46 1 3 7 9 15 18 5v5
Away 3 7:11 Kassian (Goal) 2 4 15 23 29 46 1 3 7 9 15 18 5v5
Home 3 6:50 Kunitz 3 9 14 29 41 87 1 5 17 20 23 33 5v5
Home 3 6:48 Matta (Goal) 7 12 29 36 44 71 1 2 8 22 25 36 5v5
Home 3 5:09 Malkin 2 4 9 14 29 71 1 3 5 7 17 33 5v5
Away 3 4:57 Higgins 2 4 9 14 29 87 1 3 5 17 20 33 5v5
Home 3 2:12 Crosby 2 3 9 14 29 87 1 3 5 17 22 33 5v5
Home 3 1:24 Sutter (Penalty Shot) 7 12 29 36 44 71 1 5 15 20 23 36 5v5
Home 3 1:15 Malkin 7 16 29 36 44 71 1 5 17 20 23 25 5v5
Away 4 2:25 D. Sedin 7 29 44 71 87
1 5 22 23 33
4v4

CANUCK ON-ICE SCORING CHANCES FOR AND AGAINST

# Player EV

PP

SH

1 LUONGO, ROBERTO
17 15
1 0
2 3
2 HAMHUIS, DAN 18:56 5 5 01:21 1 0 02:56 0 1
3 BIEKSA, KEVIN 17:50 7 4 00:39 0 0 03:52 2 2
5 GARRISON, JASON 22:31 6 8 01:33 1 0 00:00 0 0
7 BOOTH, DAVID 12:28 7 4 00:00 0 0 00:00 0 0
8 TANEV, CHRISTOPHER 21:03 5 5 00:00 0 0 02:56 0 1
9 KASSIAN, ZACK 11:17 6 3 00:00 0 0 00:00 0 0
15 RICHARDSON, BRAD 10:11 5 5 00:00 0 0 03:00 0 1
17 KESLER, RYAN 19:34 4 7 01:21 1 0 03:11 0 2
18 STANTON, RYAN 12:48 6 1 00:00 0 0 00:00 0 0
20 HIGGINS, CHRIS 17:39 5 5 00:39 0 0 01:33 0 1
22 SEDIN, DANIEL 21:55 5 5 01:21 1 0 01:39 2 1
23 EDLER, ALEXANDER 19:23 5 7 00:27 0 0 03:52 2 2
25 SANTORELLI, MIKE 15:50 5 4 00:39 0 0 02:09 0 0
29 SESTITO, TOM 04:01 1 1 00:00 0 0 00:00 0 0
32 WEISE, DALE 03:47 1 1 00:00 0 0 00:00 0 0
33 SEDIN, HENRIK 21:27 5 5 01:21 1 0 02:04 2 1
36 HANSEN, JANNIK 17:56 4 4 00:39 0 0 00:00 0 0
45 SCHROEDER, JORDAN 07:24 2 1 00:00 0 0 00:00 0 0

  • Henrik Sedin played primarily against Crosby (12 min) .
  • He came out ahead with a 8-6 SCD for the game.
  • Henrik is getting better with age and he is thriving with increased icetime (~25 min.).
  • Christopher Tanev was matched mostly against Malkin (10.min).
  • He came out a respectable 5-6 SCD.
  • Daniel Sedin had a 8-6 in SCD and had 4 individual chances - he is overdue to score.
  • Sidney Crosby was 8 -10 in SCD (5-7 at even strength).
  • Crosby's offensive skill and success covered up his loose defensive play.
  • Evgeni Malkin was outstanding 10-4 SCD. (7-2 at even strength).
  • Malkin's success highlights the Canucks need for another shutdown center.

Statistical Three Stars:

1. Evgeni Malkin

2. Henrik Sedin

3. Christopher Tanev

OFFENSIVE ZONE ENTRY SUCCESS RATE (OZE%)


VANCOUVER


PITTSBURGH

Period

Successful

Attempted

%

Successful

Attempted

%

1

18

23

78%


7

27

26%

2

22

36

66%


17

34

50%

3

19

38

66%


14

29

48%









Total

59

97

61%


38

90

42%

  • The Canucks won the neutral zone battle by a wide margin.
  • The team appears to have adjusted nicely to John Tortorella's new system.
  • The Canucks had 50 successful 'carry in's' - Pittsburgh had only 28.
  • The Canucks had 13 successful 'dump ins' out of 36 (36%) .
  • The Penguins had 10 'dump in' wins out of 50 (20%).
  • What does it say when a second tier western team can dominate a top eastern team?

DEFENSIVE ZONE EXIT SUCCESS RATE (DZE%)


VANCOUVER


BUFFALO

Period

Successful

Attempted

%

Successful

Attempted

%

1

16

32

50%


14

28

50%

2

17

34

50%


20

35

57%

3

16

31

49%


16

36

44%









Total

49

97

50%


50

99

50%

  • It was an even game in terms of Defensive Zone Attempts (DZA).

EXPECTED SCORE

{Expected Score is calculated by assigning an approximate percentage value to each shot attempt. It's goal is to capture a truer picture of the game}


VANCOUVER

PITTSBURGH


ES (PP) {SH} = TOTAL EXP. SCORE

ES (PP) {SH} = TOTAL EXP. SCORE


3 (.4) {..3} = 3.7

2.3 (.6 ) {0} = 2.9

GOALTENDER RATING

  • Marc-Andre Fleury had an expected goals against of ~4.3.
  • Roberto Luongo had an expected goals against of ~3.5.
  • Fleury's rating: +1.3 - Luongo's rating + .5.
  • As I predicted, the Penguins made Luongo pay for his rebounds.

TURNOVERS (EvenSrength)

  • Vancouver had another low total of 14 - Pittsburgh had 22 (19 in the last 2 periods).
  • The Penguins play an 'eastern' style which appears not include a heavy forecheck.

UP NEXT:

  • The Columbus BlueJackets. The Jackets are a below average team.
  • They rank 26th in team possession (FF close).
  • They rank 23rd in Goals For and 24th in Goals Against.
  • The Canucks play their 3rd game in four nights.
  • Both teams' are expected to start their backup goalies.
  • Eddie Lack for Vancouver and Curtis McElhinney for the Jackets.

Feel free to add comments and questions below!

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