FanPost

Lack Of PP Opp -Much Ado About Nothing (Part 2)



To recap. from Part 1. We know that power play opportunities are down league wide (7.08/gm to 6.8/gm).

Compared to last years totals, the Canucks have not had a similar drop so far. (3.61/gm. to 3.52/gm).

However, this drop amounts to ONLY 1 power play every 7 games per team. This is insignificant.

What does this mean for the Canucks? Under 2 goals.

When we compare production between the two years we find that

The Canucks would have scored 50.7 goals thus far with last years rate.

(last years rate 3.61 * 20.7% * 68 games played).

The Canucks have scored 49 goals thus far.

This is strong evidence the Canucks drop in PP production is primarily the result of their

reduced performance or skill and not the result of fewer calls.

........................PP Goal rate /60 min..........PP Goal rate /2 min.*(all raw stats from behind the net.ca)

Canucks 10-11....................(9.3)............................... (.31)

Canucks 11-12....................(7.2)................................(.24)


In simple approx. terms, this means the Canucks scored 1 goal in 6 minutes of PP

This year the Canucks are scoring 1 in 8 minutes this year.

(Boy do they miss Ehroff, but that's another post! )

Where do the Canucks rank in terms of getting on the PP?



The Canucks average 7th most in the league. (since 2005-06) Currently they rank 9th. And have

never been lower than 11th in any season.


The Canucks have received 'above average' pp opportunities since the lockout

But Wait a minute. Aren't The fewer calls hurting the Canucks ability to score 5 on 5? By letting

all all the extra hooking, interference go, 'skilled ' teams like the Canucks are slowed down

and will score less.


.........................................Total goals (5 on 5)

Canucks 10-11.......................165.............2.01 /gm

Canucks 11-12.......................138.............2.03/gm........*projected(166)

So far, it looks like this is not the case.



............................. Goal rate 5/5 (60minutes)

Canucks 10-11..................2.7

Canucks 11-12................ .2.7

The Canucks are scoring at a the same rate 5 on 5 this year.

Yes, PP opportunities have fallen over the last few years The worry is this will result in less

5 on 5 scoring throughout the league and a return to the dead Puck Era.


Year 5 on 5 goal rates (/60) Shots For Rates (/60)

2008................................2.4.....................29

2009................................2.4.....................30

2010................................2.5.....................30

2011................................2.5.....................30

This year.........................2.4.....................29

If skilled teams like the Canucks were negatively impacted we ought to see a reduction in

scoring rates 5 on 5 .This has not been the case.

Fewer calls has led to an insignificant number of power play goals.

Fewer calls has not changed even strength shots or goal rates for the Canucks this year or for the league

over the last 5 years.

Again - Much ado about nothing.

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