FanPost

The Book On Roberto Luongo says...

Hatersgonnahate14270_medium

It also says that's he bucking some (previously) disturbing trends. Let's check it out

I was taking a look at some of Luongo's stats from his years as a Canuck, mainly because of a link Sean posted to some split stats of his. I casually mentioned "Hey, Lu plays pretty shitty on Tuesdays" to which Sean prompted (and continually prods like a sadistic kid prodding a poor puppy) me to put it in a fanpost. So here, now you can leave me alone!

The day data wasn't really as interesting as I hoped. Yeah, this year Lu's worst day is Tuesday, but it's changed pretty much every year, so nothing really to see. I found more interesting numbers in some of the other stats. Now, this has to be taken with somewhat of a grain of salt, because the team strength could also be a factor as well.

First up: I like this trend.

Year 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11
GAA In Loss 3.36 3.23 3.37 3.84 2.92
SV% In Loss 0.884 0.891 0.885 0.867 0.903

Almost a full goal per game less in losses? Yeah, I'll take that. In case you are wondering, his SV% for wins has been a rock solid 0.94 or higher in every season he's been in Vancouver. So it's the losses that have been bad (especially last year)

The second works better in graph form: Lu's SV% per month for every year in Vancouver

Lumonth_medium

We see here some disturbing trends in previous years: A noticeable drop off in SV% without fail in April, and also in March for every year except 08-09.
It's bloody amazing how consistently mediocre Luongo's October is. He only had a decent October once (his first year here), and every year it's been almost exactly the same - just slightly above .900. And again last year was painful - he peaks in December (talk about premature!) and declines the entire rest of the way.

So far, this year looks to be bucking the free falling SV% at the end of the season trend, which I personally feel will continue through in April. I attribute this to the two things everyone else is attributing Lu's improved performance to: Rollie and Cory.

Keep proving your critics wrong Roberto. 

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