FanPost

Playoff Pushes 3.0

Yes, here it is again, my weekly update on the playoff pushes.  This time around, I decided to put both conferences in the same post, just with slightly different formatting.  All the same goodies are there, though.  The statistics come from Sports Club Stats.  Please keep in mind that these official numbers are what the teams can determine themselves, and the percentages reflect a dependence on how the other teams around them are playing.

Here are the previous West post, the previous East post, the original West post, and the original East post.

First, the West (in order of standings)

  1. San Jose Sharks have officially clinched their playoff seed with 8 games left, and have a 45% chance of finishing 2nd.  If they win all their games, though, they have 97% chance at 1st.
  2. Chicago Blackhawks have also clinched their playoff seed, and have 9 games left.  They have a 61% chance of finishing in 1st.
  3. Vancouver Canucks have 8 games left, and need only 1-4-3 to clinch a playoff spot.  They have an 80% chance of finishing in 3rd, although there is a 37% chance at 1st if they win all 8 games.
  4. Phoenix Coyotes have 7 games left (including today's game) and need only 0-6-1 to clinch.  They have a 68% chance of finishing in 4th, although going perfect in the 7 games would result in a 67% chance at 1st.
  5. Nashville Predators have 7 games left, in which they need one of 1-0-6, 3-2-2 or 4-3-0 to clinch.  They have a 19% chance at 5th, a 25% chance at 6th, a 26% chance at 7th, and a 27% chance at 8th.
  6. Los Angeles Kings have 9 games left, in which they need either 4-4-1 or 1-1-7 to clinch.  They have a 38% chance at 5th, and a 23% chance at 6th.
  7. Colorado Avalanche have 9 games left, in which they need one of 1-0-8, 4-3-2 or 5-4-0 to clinch.  They have a 23% chance at 6th, a 27% chance at 7th, and a 22% chance at 8th.
  8. Detroit Red Wings have 8 games left, in which they need either 1-0-7 or 2-0-6 to clinch.  They have a 23% chance at 6th, a 27% chance at 7th, and a 35% chance at 8th.
  9. Calgary Flames have 8 games left, which they need to win all of to have a 94.7% chance at clinching.  They are at a 62% chance of finishing in 9th.  They can drop out of contention with 1-0-7.
  10. St. Louis Blues need to win all of their remaining 8 games to have a 29.3% chance at clinching.  They are at a 32% chance of finishing 10th, and a 24% chance of finishing 11th. They will drop out of playoff contention with either 2-0-6 or 4-3-1.
  11. Anaheim Ducks need to win all of their remaining 8 games to have a 14.7% chance at making the playoffs.  They are at a 20% chance for 10th, a 25% chance at 11th, a 25% chance at 12th, and a 22% chance at 13th. They will drop out of playoff contention with some combination of at least 3 regulation losses and 5 overtime losses.
  12. Dallas Stars need to win all of their remaining 8 games to have an 8.0% chance at clinching.  They are at a23% chance of finishing 11th, a 25% chance of finishing 12th, and a 27% chance of finishing 13th.  They will drop out of playoff contention with 2 regulation losses and 1 overtime loss.
  13. Minnesota Wild need to win all of their remaining 7 games to have a 1.3% chance at clinching.  They are at a 20% chance for 11th, a 30% chance for 12th, and a 33% chance at 13th.  They will drop out of playoff contention with 2 more regulation losses.
  14. Columbus Blue Jackets have officially dropped out with 8 games left, and have a 90% chance at finishing in 14th.
  15. Edmonton Oilers have officialy dropped out, and have fully claimed 15th place.

Now for the East:

  1. Washington Capitals have officially clinched their playoff spot, and could clinch 1st place with a Devils' loss today.
  2. New Jersey Devils have also officially clinched their playoff spot, and have 9 games left.  They have a 49% chance at 2nd and a 35% chance at 4th.
  3. Buffalo Sabres have 9 games left, in which they can clinch with 1-0-8 or 0-7-2.  They have a 26% chance at 2nd and a 72% chance at 3rd.
  4. Pittsburgh Penguins have already clinched their playoff spot with 8 games left.  They have a 26% chance at 2nd and a 63% chance at 4th.
  5. Ottawa Senators have7 games left, and have a few ways to clinch their playoff spot: 0-1-6, 0-0-7, 1-1-5, 2-2-3 and 3-3-1.  They have a 65% chance for 5th and a 21% chance at 6th.
  6. Montreal Canadiens have 7 games left, in which they need 4-2-1 to clinch.  They have a 34% chance at 6th and a 33% chance at 7th.
  7. Philadelphia Flyers have 8 games left, in which they need 4-0-4 to clinch.  They have a 33% chance at 6th and a 30% chance at 7th.
  8. Boston Bruins have 7 games left, in which they can clinch with 7-2-0 or drop out with 0-7-2.  They name a 22% chance at 7th and a 38% chance at 8th.
  9. Atlanta Thrashers need to win all of their remaining 8 games to have a 99.8% chance at clinching.  They have a 27% chance at sitting in 9th, and a 29% chance at 10th.
  10. New York Rangers also need to win all of their remaining 8 games to have a 99.8% chance at clinching.  They have a 31% chance at 9th and a 25% chance at 10th.  They can drop out with 5 losses (regulation or overtime).
  11. Tampa Bay Lightning have to win all of their remaining 8 games to have a 69.1% chance at clinching.  They have a 20% chance at 10th, 23% chance at 11th, and 21% chance at 12th.  They can drop out with any combination of at least 1 regulation loss and 6 overtime losses.
  12. Florida Panthers need to win all of their remaining 9 games to have a 94.4% chance at clinching.  They have a 24% chance at 11th and a 22% chance at 12th.  They can drop out with as few as 4 losses (regulation or overtime).
  13. New York Islanders need to win all of their remaining games to have a 36.9% chance at clinching.  They have a 25% chance at 13th and a 40% chance at 14th.  They can drop out with as few as 4 losses (regulation or overtime).
  14. Carolina Hurricanes need to win all of their remaining 8 games to have a 73.4% chance at clinching.  They have a 24% chance at 12th and a 25% chance at 13th.  They can drop out with as few as 4 losses (regulation or overtime).
  15. Toronto Maple Leafs need to win all of their remaining 8 games to have a 0.3% chance of making the playoffs. They have a 84% chance at 15th, and need either 1 regulation loss or 2 overtime losses to drop out.

 

Bring on the races....

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