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Numbers: From Grim to Glee

[Ed note: Great fanpost for a first timer. Be sure to jump in on the poll.]

It's that time of year again!

The Vancouver Canucks are on the move towards the cup run we all desperately seek. So lets get into some numbers that will make everything that much more exciting.

Number One is  15

15 games remaining in the regular season.Vancouver Canucks schedule A number that will be gone before you know it. Of these 15 games remaining in the season it leads me to the next number on my list.

Number Two is 10

This is one of my favourite numbers when talking Nucks. Not only is this the original number of my personal favourite Nuck player, but it also happens to be the year we are in. The year we finally take that step into the upper echelon of hockey and maybe bring home Lord Stanley. These 10 games at home will go a long way to solidifying our division and also give us a chance at maybe a 2 seed or dare I say it the 1 seed. Before I get ahead of myself I will say I do realize we are 10 pts out of first but stranger things have happened.

Star-divide

Number Three is 2.36

This is Andrew Raycroft's GAA. I am astonished that Luongo is not the the team leader in this category as most are.Vancouver Canucks stats However I also understand the loss of  Kevin Bieksa and Willie Mitchell as well as other injuries including his own. Have contributed to an average by Roberto Luongo standards season. But has anyone else got the same read off Lou all year I have? That he is looking ahead to bigger and better things? I get the sense from his demeanor his comments and his rye sense of humour that we haven't seen the best of him. Take the Olympics for example he waited for his opportunity quietly and patiently amidst all the "he has never won anything" talk. And when the 2010 Olympic gold medal game.  was all said and done? From the moment his skates touched the ice against Germany in the qualification game a calmness came over me as a Canadian. As Nuck fans you all probably got that same feeling, it continued right to the end. When Luongo is in net trust me the players get that SAME feeling. They all know what he has been thinking about all year (except for a two week stretch in February) So Chicago...if we meet again in the playoffs this year don't think you are scoring 4 on any given night let alone 7.

Number Four is 26

Possibly becoming the greatest pick up in a long time, Mikael Samuelsson is ON FIRE! There really no other way to say it. With a current 5 game goal streak and 18 goals in his last 28 games heading into tonight's match up with Ottawa Senators vs Canucks coverage, Samuelsson is showing why Vancouver jumped to get him in the off season and why Team Sweden was silly for snubbing him. Sweden goal challenged in the 2010 Winter Olympics could have used what has become a sudden sniper in Mikael. His experience in the playoffs with the Detroit Red Wings will show through this year and could be a real difference maker.

Number Five is 3

All things 3. The third Seeded Canucks are averaging over 3 goals per game 3.28 to be more precise up .28 a game from last years number. Goals are coming from everywhere this year too. Not just the usual suspects Career highs for many players in many offensive categories. Realistic chance for having 3 thirty goal scorers this year up from 1 last year and that one player Daniel Sedin would likely have 30 as well if not for the broken foot. We can extend this further with the number of 20 goal scorers this year adding the likes of Ryan Kesler, Mason Raymond into the mix. This leads me to the 3 lines deep of solid scoring Vancouver possesses. this scoring has lead to the 10 comebacks in the 3rd period they have accomplished this season. The ability to score three deep takes a load off everyone.

So what does all this mean??

Another Division title? For sure

Playoff success? TBD but all signs point to a deeper more experienced and far more hungry and confident team. This should equal more success.

What do you think?

Poll
How do you see the rest of this year playing out?
Stanley Cup Champions
68 votes
Another 2nd round exit
23 votes
Reach Finals and lose
19 votes
Reach Conference Finals and lose
60 votes

170 votes | Poll has closed

0 recs  |  Comment 37 comments |

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Comments

Display:

Great post, Alpha. To be completely honest, and I’ll get flamed for it, I don’t think a team with Pavol Demitra on it will win the Stanley Cup. Sure, he’s doing fine now, but I don’t think he can handle a playoff grind. Same with Salo. I voted Conference Finals and lose.

by Sean Zandberg on Mar 13, 2010 5:43 PM PST reply actions  

Last night he looked like the Olympian Demo, who we all came to love. Hope it lasts (with fingers crossed).

by Bobby Canuck on Mar 14, 2010 10:26 AM PDT up reply actions  

I actually didn’t notice him as much.

by kesrows on Mar 14, 2010 1:21 PM PDT up reply actions  

I would like to point out that we do play San Jose THREE times before the season is done, so if we do win all three, it’s not “impossible” to reach 1st or 2nd seed (Not saying it’s probable though).

I think we can play with the best of them, the 3rd and 4th lines seem to be coming around too, so I think we have a good chance to win it all.

by Laharl on Mar 13, 2010 11:37 PM PST reply actions  

oh god Wellfed is our third line center.

:(

"But yeah…like CC…I harbour no ill will." - VancityDan

by Chuckles Canuckles on Mar 14, 2010 12:15 AM PST reply actions  

The focus of this group should be on winning the division, if they have the third seed they will likely play the Avs, Kings, or Yotes, three teams with a lot of youth but seriously lacking experience. I would find it hard to believe they could do better the 3rd in the Conference but those games against San Jose will tell the tale.

Their playoff success depends on Willie’s concussion. Depending on match-ups they can probably win one series without him but I can’t imagine them getting further than that. The reason the Nucks have done well this year against the tough opponents is because of Mitchell’s shutdown game. If he’s back they have a shot at big things but without him it will be tough.

by Twincest on Mar 14, 2010 12:59 AM PST reply actions  

WELLFED IS OUR THIRD LINE CENTER

WHY IS EVERYONE OKAY WITH THIS

"But yeah…like CC…I harbour no ill will." - VancityDan

by Chuckles Canuckles on Mar 14, 2010 1:01 AM PST up reply actions   1 recs

because he is awesome.

With 15 games left, and trade deadline come and gone, I think it is time to curtail our “Jesus” treatment of Welly.

Let him off that cross, and just play hockey. I have been watching him pretty close, and he is more dangerous offensively, and his defensive game looks as good as last year. The last 5-6 games, for instance, he seems to go into the corner with much bigger players and come out with the puck.

Or get in there and break up pressure in our own end, and then make that nice little pass that lets them counter. He looks to be getting used to finding Raymond and Hansen. That line could be surprising going forward.

His game has been fine. Let’s give Welly a bit more leash before yanking him back onto the crucifix.

That 3rd line is good enough, which gives Demo, Burr and Kes more time to become the special line they have shown flashes of becoming.

Sammy and the Twins look to have a Tre Kroner vibe going…leave that together.

Yeah…they can do this. If the defense is a little thin.

Fuck it. Out score the bastards, and let Luongo make the big save. Just like his hero Grant Fuhr. It worked out pretty well for him…Rings wise.

Peace.

Murphy ; "You finished with the Twins against Nashville, and AV elected to keep you guys together for today, were you happy with the decision?"

Mikael Samuelsson ; " I was happy with it...Oh yeah. Sure"

by vancitydan on Mar 14, 2010 1:38 AM PST up reply actions  

Ive got my hammer and nails ready..

For when Wellfed fail happens again.

"But yeah…like CC…I harbour no ill will." - VancityDan

by Chuckles Canuckles on Mar 14, 2010 3:28 AM PST up reply actions   1 recs

rec'd

Don’t forget the rag and vinegar.

Suffer you little bugger…what do you mean, you don’t watch TV and read books?

Heretic!

Murphy ; "You finished with the Twins against Nashville, and AV elected to keep you guys together for today, were you happy with the decision?"

Mikael Samuelsson ; " I was happy with it...Oh yeah. Sure"

by vancitydan on Mar 14, 2010 3:31 AM PST up reply actions  

Good to know you carry them around CC :)

'Nucks Misconduct - Housing Swedish Millionaires Since 2000.

by Yankee Canuck on Mar 14, 2010 9:04 AM PST up reply actions  

Alwats gotta be prepared.

"But yeah…like CC…I harbour no ill will." - VancityDan

by Chuckles Canuckles on Mar 14, 2010 1:25 PM PDT up reply actions  

Always*

"But yeah…like CC…I harbour no ill will." - VancityDan

by Chuckles Canuckles on Mar 14, 2010 3:59 PM PDT up reply actions  

Made me laugh this morning, thanks.

So don't get violent and don't get caught with your head down, the night she stole the moon.

by thelastjohnny on Mar 14, 2010 8:53 AM PST up reply actions  

No problem.

"But yeah…like CC…I harbour no ill will." - VancityDan

by Chuckles Canuckles on Mar 14, 2010 3:59 PM PDT up reply actions  

If they can get consistent defense and consistent goaltending then they can make a run at this. The scoring is obviously there and the only real question is can the defense and Luongo shut the door throughout the playoffs. That’ll be the key to success.

by marcness52 on Mar 14, 2010 1:25 AM PST reply actions  

Another concern

that the playoffs don’t bring the type of pressure which might stifle the Twins, as in the past. However, with the cagey Sammy on their line, finding open spaces, the pressure may not be as effective as it used to be.

by Bobby Canuck on Mar 14, 2010 10:33 AM PDT up reply actions  

Their playoff numbers aren’t bad at all: they each averaged a point a game last year. The playoffs before that was four years ago. They’ve gotten better since.

by Thursday on Mar 14, 2010 10:40 AM PDT up reply actions  

People keep talking about Luongo stealing this and that..How many times has he stolen anything lately? He has become a goalie who is only as good as the team in front of him. He ain’t stealing shit. I expect more out of him. I wanna see the 2007 Luongo, or we are doomed.

by Sean Zandberg on Mar 14, 2010 1:54 AM PST reply actions  

You take 2007’s model, I’ll take 2008. Nine shutouts in 54 games? Yeah, okay!

by Thursday on Mar 14, 2010 10:36 AM PDT up reply actions  

Keep in mind this was also during AV’s trap or play in the minors era.

Getting more opportunities usually equals giving more up…essentially saying" if we open it up, our goalie will make more saves than your goalie, and we finally trust our offense"

by kesrows on Mar 14, 2010 1:24 PM PDT up reply actions  

You play with what you’ve got – AV didn’t have the guns he has now. Of course, he doesn’t have the defence he had then, either, so…

by Thursday on Mar 14, 2010 10:14 PM PDT up reply actions  

I suppose it's fair to say that your request has been answered Sean

I am fully confident Lu is in a bit of “relax mode” for the stretch run and will be fully back up to speed once the playoffs start.

Knights, Canucks, Dolphins, Jays and Raptors all the way.

by Jevant on Mar 15, 2010 9:40 AM PDT up reply actions  

Dude…the stats are not that far off. Yeah, better in 2007, but not Toskala bad or anything!

I hear you, but the perception is all askew. He didn’t become a sieve overnight.

He had a few bad games.

As long as he has leaned enough from the Games to not do that in the Big Games…it works for me.

Murphy ; "You finished with the Twins against Nashville, and AV elected to keep you guys together for today, were you happy with the decision?"

Mikael Samuelsson ; " I was happy with it...Oh yeah. Sure"

by vancitydan on Mar 14, 2010 1:58 AM PST reply actions  

Oh yeah? How many games has he stolen this year? He has been questionable at best on most nights and I guarantee that most would agree.

by Sean Zandberg on Mar 14, 2010 3:01 AM PST up reply actions  

Sean…I know its late…but I never said he did.

I posted some stats a few days back, but they are readlily available. Its the perception that is changed.

The truth is, his stats are not much different. A couple less shutouts, and a .1 difference ( or so ) in the GAA. Which at this time of the season counts up to like…10-15 more goals all season.

Thats all. This “questionable” I hear sometimes makes me laugh too. We have one of the Top 3 goalies in the league, and because his game is not perfect all the time, he is a bum. He has stolen a couple…but its too late to look up.

Other teams are going to score, but its how you finish. The Avs game was a prime example of that.

So was the Nashville game…where he kept them in it to win it. So was the Bos game…where he was huge! The Fla s/o. They had some chances. But we choose to remember the Minny game just before the break. The Hawks game…a complete team breakdown in the first leaving him hanging…but go steal that game Lui!

Our team is almost 20 games over .500….but to hear some of us sometimes, you would think it was all an illusion, and that they really suck once you get to know them. The defense is horrible….why is that guy starting instead of this one?

The goalie sucks…except did you SEE that save?!

Poppycock and balderdash. There are what they are. A bonafide Cup contender, and a team no one will want.

Not even Chicago…

Murphy ; "You finished with the Twins against Nashville, and AV elected to keep you guys together for today, were you happy with the decision?"

Mikael Samuelsson ; " I was happy with it...Oh yeah. Sure"

by vancitydan on Mar 14, 2010 3:18 AM PST up reply actions  

Disagreed

“Questionable at best most nights…”

So, you think Luongo has been in the bottom ten goalies of the league on most of the nights he’s played. “Questionable” does not mean “Average”; it means “Bad”.

You’d prefer Cam Ward, perhaps?

by Thursday on Mar 14, 2010 10:35 AM PDT up reply actions  

He hasn’t really needed to steal games. When you are second best in league scoring, it’s hard for a goaltender to steal games. He had to steal games in the past because his team in front of him was offensively challenged. I think it’s just a sign of how much better the team has been this year.

by marcness52 on Mar 14, 2010 12:31 PM PDT up reply actions  

He’s had to steal some but failed to do so. But year, what you’re saying makes sense, marcness. Still, he doesn’t look like the dominant Luongo, stats be damned. Aim higher. We should be winning the West.

Compare this year’s Lou to this.
I’m just not seeing it

by Sean Zandberg on Mar 14, 2010 12:59 PM PDT up reply actions  

In the big scheme of things

it used to be that we were certain that scoring 2 goals would give us a win. There was a calmness about his standard of goaltending and a certainty that his strength would carry the rest of the team. Perhaps it was an unrealistic certainty, but it was bourne out by what we were witnessing. The feeling has not really been there this year. Did they perhaps make the padding for goalies smaller before this season began?

by Bobby Canuck on Mar 14, 2010 10:40 AM PDT up reply actions  

What year was this? The best he’s done was 2006-2007 when his GAA was 2.28; this year his GAA is 0.16 higher. His save percentage is 0.05 lower than that year.

The team, on the other hand, is now scoring over three goals a game this year, as compared to two and three-quarters in 2007. That is a much, much bigger difference than Lou’s goaltending drop!

Here’s a secret: goalies can’t win you games. Really. They can’t score for the team, so they can’t win games. All goaltending can do is not lose the game for you, and the rest is up to the skaters. I’m far more comfortable with a team that has two strong scoring lines and two more that can chip in than I am with a single scoring line and three rows of grunts.

That being said, I really, really want Mitchell back soon!

by Thursday on Mar 14, 2010 10:48 AM PDT up reply actions  

"What year was this?"

My confidence was highest re Luongo certainly in the 2006-07 year, almost as much last year. The last playoff game against Chi presented me with a big, fat question mark, as it was the biggest NHL game of his career. But I let it go, believing, as I still do, that he could bounce back from that. However, it seems as though he’s been pulled from games with more frequency this year and overall, he just doesn’t look as sharp.
He’s still a wonderful goalie and the hope is still there, especially after winning on such a grand stage as the Olympics, that he will lead us to the Cup.

by Bobby Canuck on Mar 14, 2010 11:37 AM PDT reply actions  

And re Mitchell, and knowing a goalie is as good as the men in front of him as well as the coaches’ defensive system, I too really want the guy back soon.

by Bobby Canuck on Mar 14, 2010 11:39 AM PDT reply actions  

I hear ya. Besides, I laugh whenever Mitchell tries a slap shot, and I miss that.

by Thursday on Mar 14, 2010 10:15 PM PDT up reply actions  

Just a thought: The Canucks also lost Ohlund in the off-season which could be contributing to the increased opposition chances. And factor in the injuries to Mitchell and Bieksa (yeah I know) for significant portions of the season.

Poutine & Meatballs

by cyxj on Mar 14, 2010 12:34 PM PDT reply actions  

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