As some of you are probably aware, Sports Club Stats is a fascinating website that tracks each team's likelihoods of making the playoffs, what they need to clinch spots, and what seeds they're most likely to finish in.  Here's an explanation of how it works, direct from the site:

Sports Club Stats calculates each team’s odds of making the playoffs, how each upcoming game will impact those odds, and how well they have to finish out to have a shot. It knows the season schedule and scores for past games. Each night it grabs any new scores from the internet and simulates the rest of the season by randomly picking scores for each remaining game. The weighted method takes the opponents record and home field advantage into account when randomly picking scores, so the better team is more likely to win. The 50/50 method gives each opponent an equal chance of winning each game. Both methods let an appropriate percent of games end in a tie or go into overtime in leagues where that matters. When it’s finished "playing" all the remaining games it applies the league’s tie breaking rules to see where everyone finished. It repeats this random playing out of the season million of times, keeping track of how many "seasons" each team finishes where. Finally it updates this page with the new results for you to read with your morning coffee.

Fascinating.

Anyways, with most teams now sitting at 15 games left in the season, I felt it was time to show each team's chances.  After the jump, I'll show each team, what they need to guarantee clinching a playoff spot, what will make them guaranteed to drop out of the playoffs entirely, and their most likely finishing position.  This post was really long, so I'll put the Western Conference here, and the East in another post.

In order of the current standings:

San Jose Sharks

• 16 games left
• Need 0-15-1 to clinch (yeah, they're pretty much in now)
• Most likely finishing seed: 1st in West (62%)
  

Chicago Blackhawks

• 16 games left
• Need 1-13-2 to clinch (also pretty much in)
• Most likely finishing seed: 2nd in West (60%)
  

Vancouver Canucks

• 15 games left
• Need 7-7-1 to clinch
• Can drop out with 0-12-3
• Most likely finishing seed: 3rd in West (81%)
  

Phoenix Coyotes

• 15 games left
• Need 8-7-0 to clinch
• Can drop out with 0-14-1
• Most likely finishing position: 5th in West (39%)
  

Los Angeles Kings

• 15 games left
• Need 8-7-0 to clinch
• Can drop out with 1-14-0
• Most likely finishing position: 4th in West (56%)
  

Colorado Avalanche

• 15 games left
• Need 8-4-3 to clinch
• Can drop out with 1-13-1
• Most likely finishing position: 6th in West (33%)
  

Nashville Predators

• 14 games left
• Need 10-3-1 to clinch
• Can drop out with 1-9-4
• Most likely finishing position: 7th in West (30%)

Calgary Flames

• 15 games left
• Need 11-1-3 to clinch
• Can drop out with 3-11-1
• Most likely finishing position: 8th in West (27%)

Detroit Red Wings

• 15 games left
• Need 12-1-2 to clinch
• Can drop out with 3-9-3
• Most likely finishing position: 8th in West (26%)
  

St. Louis Blues

• 16 games left
• Need 13-0-3 to clinch
• Can drop out with 6-9-1
• Most likely finishing position: 10th in West (27%)

Dallas Stars

• 15 games left
• Need 14-0-1 to clinch
• Can drop out with 6-7-2
• Most likely finishing position: 12th in West (26%)

Minnesota Wild

• 15 games left
• Need 15-0-0 to clinch
• Can drop out with 7-8-0
• Most likely finishing position: 12th in West (26%)

Anaheim Ducks

• 15 games left
• Need 15-0-0 to have 99.9% chance at clinching
• Can drop out with 7-5-3
• Most likely finishing position: 13th in West (39%)

Columbus Blue Jackets

• 14 games left
• Need 14-0-0 to have 69.1% at clinching
• Can drop out with 8-5-1
• Most likely finishing position: 14th in West (75%)

Edmonton Oilers

• Already knocked out
• Most likely finishing position: 15th in West (100%)