A What If Regarding Kessler
The recent headlines regarding the closed negotiations for Kessler have generated some concern amongst the Canuck faithful. I have no doubt this will be resolved quickly once the season ends but for the sake of discussion, what if there is another agenda in place? If the Canucks are in the Kovalev sweepstakes, then consideration has to be given as to what would make them the most successful bidder. Raymond and Kessler are the only top six forwards who are not under contract for next year. Kessler's bargaining position is much better than Raymond's so it is safe to assume his contract will be much higher than Raymond's. By the same token, Raymond as the top six forward would not give the Canucks an advantage in a trade but Kessler would be an extremely attractive bargaining chip. If you throw in everyone's favorite whipping boy, Bieksa, Grabner and a second round draft pick, that could be sufficient to bring Kovalev to Vancouver. Demitra's money along with Bieksa's would go a long way towards meeting Kovalev's salary demands.My basic premise is that you have to give up quality to get quality and watering this package down too far simply won't get the job done.
Reactions but since this is my first post in this group, be gentle.
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Hey Rod, welcome to the group. I’ll give you a pass on the ev-chuck mixup. But you should really try and spell Kesler correctly, since the man is a god. Anyway, I’m not seeing how not signing Kesler makes him more valuable for trade purposes— if anything, him not being signed makes him more of a risk factors as far as costs are concerned.
My Bad and Insulting The Gods
Thanks klyotok. First identical twins, now I can’t tell the difference between Russians. I am so doomed.
Personally I would rather keep Kesler as well but you have to admit that Kova….whatever would quickly bump the Canucks even closer to being a Cup contender. I fully expect that Russian guy to sign with his current team in any case so this could be moot.
Thanks too Beantown Canuck. I will work on my Kessssler spelling. First of all, I love Kesler as well. I think his work ethic is second to none on the team and that is worth a lot. Ideally, I would love to see him as a third line centre as his one short coming is finish around the net. He is a checking centre first class but we have been forced to play him on the second line due to that missing scoring centre we’ve been looking for over the years. In all likelihood, the Canucks will keep him where he is and look to acquire a replacement for Wellwood at the deadline but that qualifies as only a marginal improvement.
Kovalchuk doesn’t have a contract going forward nor does Kessler. Whether this flexibility makes him more or less valuable for trade purpose is debatable. I threw him into the mix in an attempt to read between the lines as to why he hasn’t been extended long before now. Some of the ridiculous trade scenarios that get thrown out there are laughable. If the Thrashers actually do make Kovalchuk available, we know the price will be high. There are many who would argue that it would be worth it to get a player who fits our needs so completely.
Thanks for the welcome.
Hope you guys pop over to RivalsHockey.com and join in our discussions there as well. We have some good people there as well. Some of them even know how to spell.
Hey Sir Rod! Welcome!
I am not a Kovalev or Kovalchuk fan. The financial stress caused by getting Kovalchuk isn’t worth it. I don’t see Gillis pissing away that much of our future for a guy we’d have to sign in the summer at such a huge cost that it would force the Canucks to dump even more salary. The Kovalchuk to Vancouver rumors bother me because they make no sense at all…financially or logically.
I think the Canucks’ best bargaining chips are Cory Schneider and Hansen. Right now I would trade Schneider for 3rd line help and perhaps a draft pick. Just my opinion
by Sean Zandberg on Feb 1, 2010 10:07 PM PST up reply actions
I totally agree with Sean. Kovalchuk is going to want big money. Probably will be the best paid in the league which will spell doom for whatever team signs him. The Canucks are winning right now and the top 2 lines are getting it done. Best not to mess with that chemistry. You only have to look as far as Calgary to know that signing big names don’t necessary equal success. That being said, Kovalchuk is a lot better than Jokinen but I think you’d have to give up too much to get him and he will probably just walk as a UFA on July 1.
The only thing this team really needs is third line help or for the third line to start stepping up.
The trade value for C Schneider should be higher in the summer. I don’t think Gillis is the type to pull the trigger early on him (this year). We have enough spare parts on the bottom end to ditch (perhaps this year) and some optimism for HodGson/Shirokov/Grabner to bolster the future forward lines to be too hasty. We should look for a true rental (3rd line C) that wants a cup(*) and isn’t going to cost us an arm and leg.
My best guess is Gillis does nothing. The Olympics allow Demitra, Grabner and Bieksa to rehab/heal/get their mojo and each fits into the system already in place. Recall that Wellwood and Bernier both had pretty good playoffs last year too. It’s playing blackjack when your on nineteen and the dealer shows a ten…..
Third Line Help Plus
Switching gears a bit, I think we can safely discount the Kovalchuk to Vancouver rumors. That doesn’t address why a new contract for Kesler has been so long in coming but my post was more to play devil’s advocate than anything else. It’s great to see the reasoned responses. It is what I would have expected here which is why I joined.
Personally I think the Canucks will add two players at the deadline. Definitely a third line centre to provide an upgrade on Wellwood or possibly Bernier. They need scoring from that line. I also feel they need a bit more depth on defense. Too many guys have had to play far more minutes than they are capable of doing in a seven game series. I would feel far more comfortable with SOB in a number six slot but even our top four could use an upgrade. Last year Ohlund was as close as we had to a stud defenseman and I don’t feel we’ve adequately replaced him. We went into the Chicago series last year assuming our defense corps was one of the best in the league but it was exposed when we faced a team blessed with speed. We haven’t found an answer for San Jose and that has to be a consideration for Gillis at the deadline.
We can’t just add as cap constraints don’t give us that option so I fully expect at least one top nine forward and one of our top seven forwards to be going elsewhere. Look also for the Canucks to be looking for some place in the minors to bury salary. Manitoba doesn’t have the room so players may well have to be packaged and we won’t necessarily like some of the names moving out. Trades can be very tough in a cap related system but if the Leafs and Flames can do it, I see now reason why Gillis and Gillman can’t be as creative.
What about Cody Hodgson as third line centre next year?
Then we don’t have to trade away any of our good players.
I agree with the people saying that the top two lines are pretty solid and we just need to focus on number 3.
Cody Hodgson
Cody could well be one of our top three centres of the future. The operative word is could. Many were prepared to anoint him as the next Trevor Linden based on his performance at the World Junior Championships in 2008. He came to training camp and was clearly not ready. He has now had most of a season on the sidelines with back problems. Has he taken a step forward in that time to guarantee his spot on the third line? If anything, his development has been setback by another year.
I fully expect the Canucks to take the more conservative approach and not trade for Kovalchuk. What does worry me though is that this presupposes that the Canucks will continue to improve with the current roster and some minor tweaks. There’s no guarantee of that. We’ve never won the Stanley Cup but I feel we are as close to being a true contender this year as we’ve ever been. Is it time to make a truly bold move, especially if it puts us over the top?
I always hear people suggesting teams trade away their future for a one-time chance at the cup. If you already have a great team, why wreck that for a high risk gamble on a new player that may not fit in and has a limited future? I liked the Sundin acquisition last year because it cost the Canucks nothing but cap space, but if we had to trade away Raymond for him, look where that would leave us this year.
I agree that Hodgson may not be the answer, but he is a possible third line centre who is already in our system. The thing is, he will be in the AHL next year so he will be able to split his time between the NHL / AHL depending on whether he earns his spot or not.
A classic example would be Niewendyk to Dallas for Iginla. Dallas got a cup, and Calgary got one of the best players in the league for years to come. Who got the better of the deal?
I don’t see Ottawa trading Kovalev due to the success the Sens have had lately (regardless of Alexei’s help in those matters or not). I also think its suicidal to trade away our No.2 centerman and two-way specialist right now or for the next 7 years-see Jordan Staal’s work in the ’09 SCF for proof of what a great two way centerman can give you in trying times.
In the long run a Kesler (or a Gainey, or a Larionov, or a Madden) can be more vital
in a close playoff series than a Kovalchuk, regardless of his abundant talents.
Ottawa’s finally found it’s stride, I highly doubt they’ll be tampering with it, or at least big names in the team.
Likewise with us. I don’t see a need for Gillis to pick up anyone except to upgrade players not producing in our bottom lines (rhymes with Garnier). Our random defence is holding the fort too.
Whenever I see “Kessler” I think “Kessel.”
"I was thinking it would be cool to see a game on the road. I have been looking all over this atlas but I don't see Vancouver anywhere. What state is this sh*t in!?"
- Dallas Stars Forum
Just keep in mind our Kes is fully testicularized. ;)
Please allow me to adjust my pants, so that I may dance the good time dance, and lead the onlookers and innocent bystanders into a trance.
In fact he may have one or two extra danglers the way he plays.
"We love them, We mourn for them, Unlucky boys of Red" - Morrissey
"Giggs gets past Viera, past Dixon, who comes back at him, it's a wonderful run from GIGGS!!!" - Martin Tyler
"Better to die trying to live than live trying not to die."
by Section 312 on Feb 2, 2010 12:22 PM PST up reply actions
Probably pure projection here but … Atlanta is a troubled franchise that needs an exciting scorer in order to draw the fans and Kesler lacks the star power. He’s a great overall player that helps win lots of games, but for $5m or thereabouts I suspect the Thrashers (a fitting name for the team, considering their woes) would rather put the money towards a Gaborik/Crosby/Datysuk kind of player. Iginla, maybe?
Anyway, good solid winning hockey might draw the fans in Canada, but in Atlanta I think they need superstar power on top of that and will try to trade accordingly if they can find the right trading partner.
Then again, if the plan is to move the Thrashers to Hamilton, it could all change in a hurry.
The opposite of serious is not funny; the opposite of serious is unserious.
If Atlanta needs a marquee name on their team, their only real option is to re-sign Kovalchuk. There is absolutely no way that a team in the hunt for the cup this year is going to trade a top-flight player for Kovalchuk on the gamble that the possible improvement puts them over the top. This is particularly true for players with one or more years left on their contract. Atlanta’s only options on Kovalchuk are:
- resign him
- trade him for some 2nd line players/picks
- trade his rights in the summer for spare parts and picks
- let him walk (guaranteed not to happen, they would at least trade his rights)
Very scary Sir Rodney
Ducks fan here who’s got a warm spot for the Nucks and the Nuckleheads.
What scares me about Ilya Kovalchuk is hockey players earn their money during the season. They earn their reps in the playoffs. Kovy’s playoff experience, 4 games and out; 1 goal, 1 assist is not exactly much if anything to go on.
I like the Nucks nucleus especially that they are heading in this year’s playoff with something to prove after last year’s ugly 2nd round exit. To bring in a guy like Kovalchuk, who needs to be “The Guy” to a team where the leaders and best players are down to earth, check their egos at the door types, is asking for trouble.
Upgrade the 3rd line, find an insurance PP/QB and your Nucks will be well positioned for a deep run. Unless you draw my Ducks and Kovy wouldn’t help ya anyway.
Hey everyone
i am a lifelong caps andnucks oh and kind of a leaf fan who has a soft spot for most of the canadian teams except edmenton who i despise but i think we guys need to keep kesler like our lives depened on it, he is one of our best players on the team and one of our top goal scores so i believe he is worth signing to a long term deal. i really hope to react throughout the rest of the year. thanks guys
by Skins4ever on Feb 3, 2010 12:03 PM PST reply actions
please
No, Im not trading kesSler bieksa grabner for kovalev, or kovalchuk. Im not trading kesSler PERIOD.
Sorry Mike I Didn't Recognize You
Nice of you to drop in to put any rumors to rest. I am curious as to what you plan to do with Kesler’s salary demands now that you have gone on record about not trading him under any circumstances? I presume you are comfortable with the five million they’ve been requesting? Personally, if I was Kesler’s manager, I’d bump it up to six but that’s just me.
By the way, going back to the spelling mistake which I acknowledged way back when and yelling at me through the use of CAPS is just a tad tacky. Since we are getting a bit picky and pointing out typos, the word “Im” is incorrect. It’s an abbreviation of the words “I” and “am” so there’s an apostrophe between them. Also, in your list of players you don’t plan on trading, the first two names should have been separated by commas and the last two should have been joined by the word “and”. No biggie and I am sure when you get to Grade 5 most of that will be sorted out for you.
Hope you enjoy Spring Break.
Just curious Sir
Now that Waddell has gone on record as saying Kovy turned down $101 million over 12 years and $70 million over 7 years, the latter of which would have made him the league’s highest paid player, are you still so all up for trading for him?
Realism Sets In
Hi Slash,
To be honest, I was never in favor of the Canucks mortgaging the farm to get Kovalchuk. I threw that out there and tried to make a case based on what I thought they would have to do for discussion’s sake. As an ardent Canuck fan, I find there are times when no story lines exist and to keep the juices flowing, you have to make one up.
I think Waddell’s strategy in putting out those numbers may backfire on him. I think he’s sending this out so that other GMs will back off a bit and give him time to re-sign Kovalchuk. I have a hard time believing that anyone is going to pay enough of a price to get Kovalchuk as a rental player when so much is at stake for Atlanta. The numbers quoted are staggering. If Kovalchuk really wants to stay in Atlanta, and that’s a very big if, then they can’t be that far apart. Where it all backfires for Atlanta is that they don’t trade him by asking too much and then someone gets caught up in the feeding frenzy after July 1st and calls Kovalchuk’s bluff about wanting to stay. They wind up with nothing but cap space. In a hockey market like Vancouver, that isn’t such a bad thing but when you are based in Atlanta, not so much.
Waddell is in a very tough situation here. He’s in a very tenuous market, his marquee player wants the moon, he’s prepared to virtually give it to him and that may still not be enough. Waddell could get full marks for giving it has best shot and still be out of a job.
Long winded answer but I don’t think many will feel disappointed when these so called rumors die down.
Take care and thanks for asking.
Long winded
That you are.
Kchuk is full of shit to try and claim that he wants to stay in Atl while turning down $100M???
All about the $, no way I’d give up significant future players to rent a guy like that, no way the Nucks could afford to keep him anyway.
Everybody knows
That the world is full of stupid people
Well I got the pistols so I'll keep the Pesos
Yeah that seems fair

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